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The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 09 Dec 2024, 09:19
by Come On You Irons
There. Resident WHO political commentators and gurus can knock yourselves out in here and conduct your endless bickering. All other threads will be locked.

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 21:35
by Nutsin
Goose do me a favour mate. Can you give your crystal ball a little rub, let me know what next weeks results are gonna be? Much obliged!

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 21:32
by Nutsin
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 21:08
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:47
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:26
You’re getting your government departments confused son.

btw, we’re not talking about one source here. Multiple different sources said the same things.
So they are not using the Gov’t job numbers in their algorithims? Are you sure? Where do they get their job numbers from then? I mean you can’t ignore jobs in any forecast.

And do they all have exactly the same number?
Keep reaching son. 
Like I said before, to cover the reduction of tax revenues you need growth way ahead of anything ever recorded.
£300bn on the national debt, every year.


Have a sit down and think that one through.
Just too stupid to take seriously. Let’s see what happens.

cսnt thinks he’s got a crystal ball ffs!

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 21:08
by goose
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:47
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:26
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:22
Yeah we’ve seen just how good they are. They can’t even get close to the job numbers. That’s why Trump fired the woman in charge.

You really are stupid’
You’re getting your government departments confused son.

btw, we’re not talking about one source here. Multiple different sources said the same things.
So they are not using the Gov’t job numbers in their algorithims? Are you sure? Where do they get their job numbers from then? I mean you can’t ignore jobs in any forecast.

And do they all have exactly the same number?
Keep reaching son. 
Like I said before, to cover the reduction of tax revenues you need growth way ahead of anything ever recorded.
£300bn on the national debt, every year.


Have a sit down and think that one through.

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 20:47
by Mr Anon
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:20 Better late than never. For what it’s worth it was a cunty thing to say no doubt. Stupid too, nothing to be gained from it, no matter how it was meant.

 
 
good to hear you say, many people at the moment try to defend the indefensible 

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 20:47
by Nutsin
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:26
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:22
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:17
Hahaha you’re so dense.
i wonder if they count tariff revenue 😂 😂 😂 

We’re talking about the best economists around.

they predict it using a model with huge numbers of data points used to model the impact. This is literally their job, it’s not a few fellas with an excel and some post it notes🤦🏻‍♂️
Yeah we’ve seen just how good they are. They can’t even get close to the job numbers. That’s why Trump fired the woman in charge.

You really are stupid’
You’re getting your government departments confused son.

btw, we’re not talking about one source here. Multiple different sources said the same things.
So they are not using the Gov’t job numbers in their algorithims? Are you sure? Where do they get their job numbers from then? I mean you can’t ignore jobs in any forecast.

And do they all have exactly the same number?

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 20:26
by goose
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:22
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:17
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:13
Possibly. We’ll find out exactly what data they put in to their algorithm. See how thorough they were. A ton of variables no doubt. I wonder if they count Tarrif revenue in their numbers? Although fuck knows how you’d predict that.

Hahaha you’re so dense.
i wonder if they count tariff revenue 😂 😂 😂 

We’re talking about the best economists around.

they predict it using a model with huge numbers of data points used to model the impact. This is literally their job, it’s not a few fellas with an excel and some post it notes🤦🏻‍♂️
Yeah we’ve seen just how good they are. They can’t even get close to the job numbers. That’s why Trump fired the woman in charge.

You really are stupid’
You’re getting your government departments confused son.

btw, we’re not talking about one source here. Multiple different sources said the same things.

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 20:22
by Nutsin
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:17
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:13
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 19:32
They’re not £300bn off.
Possibly. We’ll find out exactly what data they put in to their algorithm. See how thorough they were. A ton of variables no doubt. I wonder if they count Tarrif revenue in their numbers? Although fuck knows how you’d predict that.

Hahaha you’re so dense.
i wonder if they count tariff revenue 😂 😂 😂 

We’re talking about the best economists around.

they predict it using a model with huge numbers of data points used to model the impact. This is literally their job, it’s not a few fellas with an excel and some post it notes🤦🏻‍♂️
Yeah we’ve seen just how good they are. They can’t even get close to the job numbers. That’s why Trump fired the woman in charge.

You really are stupid’

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 20:20
by Nutsin
Better late than never. For what it’s worth it was a cunty thing to say no doubt. Stupid too, nothing to be gained from it, no matter how it was meant.


Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 20:17
by goose
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 20:13
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 19:32
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 19:30
out of curiosity how accurate do you think these models are? 
And are they the same models that were telling you we were heading for Stagflation ?
They’re not £300bn off.
Possibly. We’ll find out exactly what data they put in to their algorithm. See how thorough they were. A ton of variables no doubt. I wonder if they count Tarrif revenue in their numbers? Although fuck knows how you’d predict that.

Hahaha you’re so dense.
i wonder if they count tariff revenue 😂 😂 😂 

We’re talking about the best economists around.

they predict it using a model with huge numbers of data points used to model the impact. This is literally their job, it’s not a few fellas with an excel and some post it notes🤦🏻‍♂️

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 20:13
by Nutsin
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 19:32
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 19:30
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:58
You think it’s an ‘opinion’??? 😂 😂 😂 

it’s the output of the most advanced technical economic models. 
out of curiosity how accurate do you think these models are? 
And are they the same models that were telling you we were heading for Stagflation ?
They’re not £300bn off.
Possibly. We’ll find out exactly what data they put in to their algorithm. See how thorough they were. A ton of variables no doubt. I wonder if they count Tarrif revenue in their numbers? Although fuck knows how you’d predict that.


Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 19:32
by goose
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 19:30
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:58
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:54
How has it been proven? It’s January ffs! This is their opinion, forecasts. Just like Stagflation and Inflation and all the others. Let’s see how much growth we get first and how much tax revenues that brings. You really have no idea. Your lack of understanding is unreal!
You think it’s an ‘opinion’??? 😂 😂 😂 

it’s the output of the most advanced technical economic models. 
out of curiosity how accurate do you think these models are? 
And are they the same models that were telling you we were heading for Stagflation ?
They’re not £300bn off.

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 19:30
by Nutsin
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:58
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:54
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:38
It’s been proven that the cost of the growth projected is far outweighed by the loss of tax revenue. $300 odd billion every year.
You were pointed to multiple well respected sources and your own congressional committee all saying the same thing.

you can shout and avoid and throw insults around but these people know what they’re talking about.
How has it been proven? It’s January ffs! This is their opinion, forecasts. Just like Stagflation and Inflation and all the others. Let’s see how much growth we get first and how much tax revenues that brings. You really have no idea. Your lack of understanding is unreal!
You think it’s an ‘opinion’??? 😂 😂 😂 

it’s the output of the most advanced technical economic models. 
out of curiosity how accurate do you think these models are? 
And are they the same models that were telling you we were heading for Stagflation ?

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 17:10
by goose
Just for your tiny failed GCSE brain, to fully pay for the tax cuts you would need to far exceed any historically measured growth.

 

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 16:58
by goose
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:54
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:38
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:32
Not true, it’s been proven less tax means more consumer spending creating more GDP a vibrant economy and stronger markets which is good for your retirement accounts. Creates the wealth mindset effect, people fell better about spending. 

Once again you show your simpleton understanding of economics.

Pick up a book you cսnt!
It’s been proven that the cost of the growth projected is far outweighed by the loss of tax revenue. $300 odd billion every year.
You were pointed to multiple well respected sources and your own congressional committee all saying the same thing.

you can shout and avoid and throw insults around but these people know what they’re talking about.
How has it been proven? It’s January ffs! This is their opinion, forecasts. Just like Stagflation and Inflation and all the others. Let’s see how much growth we get first and how much tax revenues that brings. You really have no idea. Your lack of understanding is unreal!
You think it’s an ‘opinion’??? 😂 😂 😂 

it’s the output of the most advanced technical economic models. 

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 16:57
by goose
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:51
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:33
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:29
 
What’s interesting about the chart is if you select the 5 yr chart you’ll see that Interest rates took off in 2022, While Biden was in office, right around the time he announced his $5 trillion spending bill whilst telling us we had supply chain issues. 
 
And yet Trump has delivered more debt at a faster rate. 
And yet Interest rates are down and so is inflation, so is crime and drug death.

You know what’s up, GDP. As is Consumer sentiment and wage growth.
Up but slower than the Biden administration in ‘23 and ‘24.

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 16:54
by Nutsin
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:38
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:32
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:27
But the debt grows at record levels and will grow even faster when the tax cuts land.
Good luck with that.

More debt than Biden, faster acceleration of debt and lower growth. 
Not true, it’s been proven less tax means more consumer spending creating more GDP a vibrant economy and stronger markets which is good for your retirement accounts. Creates the wealth mindset effect, people fell better about spending. 

Once again you show your simpleton understanding of economics.

Pick up a book you cսnt!
It’s been proven that the cost of the growth projected is far outweighed by the loss of tax revenue. $300 odd billion every year.
You were pointed to multiple well respected sources and your own congressional committee all saying the same thing.

you can shout and avoid and throw insults around but these people know what they’re talking about.
How has it been proven? It’s January ffs! This is their opinion, forecasts. Just like Stagflation and Inflation and all the others. Let’s see how much growth we get first and how much tax revenues that brings. You really have no idea. Your lack of understanding is unreal!

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 16:51
by Nutsin
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:33
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:29
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:23
 
I never said our debt was nothing, I agree with Trump we need lower interest rates so servicing the debt is not so expensive. Rates have been dropping since Trump took office. See the 30 year fixed mortgage rate for proof or the 10 yr T-Bill, 

Here’s the 1 year chart for proof.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10
 
What’s interesting about the chart is if you select the 5 yr chart you’ll see that Interest rates took off in 2022, While Biden was in office, right around the time he announced his $5 trillion spending bill whilst telling us we had supply chain issues. 
 
And yet Trump has delivered more debt at a faster rate. 
And yet Interest rates are down and so is inflation, so is crime and drug death.

You know what’s up, GDP. As is Consumer sentiment and wage growth.

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 16:38
by goose
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:32
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:27
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:23
 
I never said our debt was nothing, I agree with Trump we need lower interest rates so servicing the debt is not so expensive. Rates have been dropping since Trump took office. See the 30 year fixed mortgage rate for proof or the 10 yr T-Bill, 

Here’s the 1 year chart for proof.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10
But the debt grows at record levels and will grow even faster when the tax cuts land.
Good luck with that.

More debt than Biden, faster acceleration of debt and lower growth. 
Not true, it’s been proven less tax means more consumer spending creating more GDP a vibrant economy and stronger markets which is good for your retirement accounts. Creates the wealth mindset effect, people fell better about spending. 

Once again you show your simpleton understanding of economics.

Pick up a book you cսnt!
It’s been proven that the cost of the growth projected is far outweighed by the loss of tax revenue. $300 odd billion every year.
You were pointed to multiple well respected sources and your own congressional committee all saying the same thing.

you can shout and avoid and throw insults around but these people know what they’re talking about.

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 16:33
by goose
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:29
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:23
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:16
 
So when you posted about GDP data why bother? It’s a nothing burger right? Just happens to be a slower growth than Biden. 
Did your GCSE teach you that GDP growth was nothing but deregulation was really important? No wonder you failed.

And that record accumulation of debt is nothing as well right?

Biden was a corpse in office but that corpse delivered more growth than your orange abuser 😂 😂 😂 
 
I never said our debt was nothing, I agree with Trump we need lower interest rates so servicing the debt is not so expensive. Rates have been dropping since Trump took office. See the 30 year fixed mortgage rate for proof or the 10 yr T-Bill, 

Here’s the 1 year chart for proof.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10
 
What’s interesting about the chart is if you select the 5 yr chart you’ll see that Interest rates took off in 2022, While Biden was in office, right around the time he announced his $5 trillion spending bill whilst telling us we had supply chain issues. 
 
 
And yet Trump has delivered more debt at a faster rate. 

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 16:32
by Nutsin
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:27
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:23
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:16
 
So when you posted about GDP data why bother? It’s a nothing burger right? Just happens to be a slower growth than Biden. 
Did your GCSE teach you that GDP growth was nothing but deregulation was really important? No wonder you failed.

And that record accumulation of debt is nothing as well right?

Biden was a corpse in office but that corpse delivered more growth than your orange abuser 😂 😂 😂 
 
I never said our debt was nothing, I agree with Trump we need lower interest rates so servicing the debt is not so expensive. Rates have been dropping since Trump took office. See the 30 year fixed mortgage rate for proof or the 10 yr T-Bill, 

Here’s the 1 year chart for proof.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10
But the debt grows at record levels and will grow even faster when the tax cuts land.
Good luck with that.

More debt than Biden, faster acceleration of debt and lower growth. 
Not true, it’s been proven less tax means more consumer spending creating more GDP a vibrant economy and stronger markets which is good for your retirement accounts. Creates the wealth mindset effect, people fell better about spending. 

Once again you show your simpleton understanding of economics.

Pick up a book you cսnt!

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 16:29
by Nutsin
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:23
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:16
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:08
What does it matter, the economy is now picking up steam, it’s what’s in front of us what counts you retard.
Markets are priced on what lies ahead. Tax cuts kick this year, Deregulation is happening at a fast clip, new technology, Trillions in new investment. Nobody cares about your silly little nothingburger negative data point. It’s not relevant! 
 
So when you posted about GDP data why bother? It’s a nothing burger right? Just happens to be a slower growth than Biden. 
Did your GCSE teach you that GDP growth was nothing but deregulation was really important? No wonder you failed.

And that record accumulation of debt is nothing as well right?

Biden was a corpse in office but that corpse delivered more growth than your orange abuser 😂 😂 😂 
 
I never said our debt was nothing, I agree with Trump we need lower interest rates so servicing the debt is not so expensive. Rates have been dropping since Trump took office. See the 30 year fixed mortgage rate for proof or the 10 yr T-Bill, 

Here’s the 1 year chart for proof.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10
 
 
What’s interesting about the chart is if you select the 5 yr chart you’ll see that Interest rates took off in 2022, While Biden was in office, right around the time he announced his $5 trillion spending bill whilst telling us we had supply chain issues. 

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 16:27
by goose
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:23
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:16
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:08
What does it matter, the economy is now picking up steam, it’s what’s in front of us what counts you retard.
Markets are priced on what lies ahead. Tax cuts kick this year, Deregulation is happening at a fast clip, new technology, Trillions in new investment. Nobody cares about your silly little nothingburger negative data point. It’s not relevant! 
 
So when you posted about GDP data why bother? It’s a nothing burger right? Just happens to be a slower growth than Biden. 
Did your GCSE teach you that GDP growth was nothing but deregulation was really important? No wonder you failed.

And that record accumulation of debt is nothing as well right?

Biden was a corpse in office but that corpse delivered more growth than your orange abuser 😂 😂 😂 
 
I never said our debt was nothing, I agree with Trump we need lower interest rates so servicing the debt is not so expensive. Rates have been dropping since Trump took office. See the 30 year fixed mortgage rate for proof or the 10 yr T-Bill, 

Here’s the 1 year chart for proof.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10
But the debt grows at record levels and will grow even faster when the tax cuts land.
Good luck with that.

More debt than Biden, faster acceleration of debt and lower growth. 

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 16:23
by Nutsin
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:16
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:08
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 15:59
Simple way to prove that big boy.
whats the full year 2025 GDP?
What does it matter, the economy is now picking up steam, it’s what’s in front of us what counts you retard.
Markets are priced on what lies ahead. Tax cuts kick this year, Deregulation is happening at a fast clip, new technology, Trillions in new investment. Nobody cares about your silly little nothingburger negative data point. It’s not relevant! 
 
So when you posted about GDP data why bother? It’s a nothing burger right? Just happens to be a slower growth than Biden. 
Did your GCSE teach you that GDP growth was nothing but deregulation was really important? No wonder you failed.

And that record accumulation of debt is nothing as well right?

Biden was a corpse in office but that corpse delivered more growth than your orange abuser 😂 😂 😂 
 
 
I never said our debt was nothing, I agree with Trump we need lower interest rates so servicing the debt is not so expensive. Rates have been dropping since Trump took office. See the 30 year fixed mortgage rate for proof or the 10 yr T-Bill, 

Here’s the 1 year chart for proof.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 16:19
by goose
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:13
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 15:58 5% GDP 😂 😂 

​​​ no wonder you failed that GCSE
That’s the Atlanta Fed forecast, they forecast 5.4- 5.6%. They have the reputation of having the best model for this. Those that know this follow it, markets and investors pay attention to this. It matters a whole lot more than your silly backward looking data points.

The mere fact that you don’t understand that it’s what’s in front of us that counts says it all.

Once again you are proving just how little you understand economics and markets.

It’s below GCSE grade. Did you graduate high school?
 
It’s a Q4 forecast which has been widely debunked and is driven by demand import which has fallen off a cliff. Even 5% lands a full year growth behind Biden.
LEI is the most widely used tool for forward projection, shall we talk about that?
“High school” 😂 
 

Re: The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)

Posted: 24 Jan 2026, 16:16
by goose
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 16:08
goose wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 15:59
Nutsin wrote: 24 Jan 2026, 15:56
What a load of bollocks!
Simple way to prove that big boy.
whats the full year 2025 GDP?
What does it matter, the economy is now picking up steam, it’s what’s in front of us what counts you retard.
Markets are priced on what lies ahead. Tax cuts kick this year, Deregulation is happening at a fast clip, new technology, Trillions in new investment. Nobody cares about your silly little nothingburger negative data point. It’s not relevant! 
 
 
So when you posted about GDP data why bother? It’s a nothing burger right? Just happens to be a slower growth than Biden. 
Did your GCSE teach you that GDP growth was nothing but deregulation was really important? No wonder you failed.

And that record accumulation of debt is nothing as well right?

Biden was a corpse in office but that corpse delivered more growth than your orange abuser 😂 😂 😂